SPDR ICE BofAML Broad High Yield Bond ETF (CJNK) FEU has changed its index from the STOXX Europe 50 Index to the STOX Europe Total Market Index. the dividing line between a bull and a bear BofAML's Bull & Bear Indicator is near "Extreme Bearishness" levels and should give a buy signal in the week(s) ahead. The State Street Investor Confidence Index for North America is at The Silver Bear Cafe keeps its subscribers informed on issues that adversely affect the conservation of capital and strategies to preserve and increase ones financial security. The S&P 500 declined by an average of roughly 30% during recession-free bear markets in 1961, 1966 and 1987, according to BofA Merrill Lynch, compared with about 40% for bear markets that S&P 500 Falls Into Bear Market Territory The index was last trading down more than 20% from its highs, the dividing line between a bull and a bear market. Features and News
Historically, it's been positive for risky assets like commodities and equities. You may also like “BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator.” Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is at 66.04 and indicates that investors remain concerned about declines in the stock market. Last changed Feb 21 from a Fear The Bull/Bear Ratio is calculated by dividing the number of bullish advisors by the number of bullish plus bearish advisors. The number of neutral advisors is 11 Mar 2020 That brought the decline from its most recent peak to more than 20 percent, the threshold that defines a bear market, after the Dow's 11-year run The historical performance of the S&P 500 Index during the US bull and bear markets. The bold numbers calculate the duration of months for the market either
The "Great Bull" market, now roughly a decade old, will see the end of its glory days as decelerating economic growth, higher interest rates and mountings debt weighs on the market, according to
On positioning: BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator slumped from excessively bullish 8.6 in Jan to 3.1 today, but we are yet to breach excessively bearish level of ; 2.0; unwind of CTFC crude oil longs, EM fund outflows >$30bn & HY outflows >$15bn next 4 weeks would get us below 2.0; until then only "dead cat bounces" likely. BofA Merrill Lynch March Fund Manager Survey finds investors in a bullish holding pattern. (21%) as the catalyst most likely to end the 8-year bull market in equities; fear of protectionism (21%) falls sharply from last month's survey. Note EURO STOXX 50® Index implied repo trading at Eurex. Hartnett points out that the BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research's Bull & Bear indicator* (B&B) has surged from 7.9 to 8.6, triggering a contrarian "sell signal" for risk assets (see Chart 1). He says the signal was triggered on 30 January because of record equity inflows, bullish hedge fund risk appetite (according to CTFC data) and a
The AAII Sentiment Survey is a weekly survey of its members which asks if they are "Bullish," "Bearish," or "Neutral" on the stock market over the next six months. View Chart and Details US Investor Sentiment, % Bull-Bear Spread
Predicting the Next Bear Market in Six Charts Here are some clues investors are using to see if the long bull run is nearing an end. Bank of America (BofA) Merrill Lynch U.S. Treasury Bill Index "Bank of America (BofA) Merrill Lynch U.S. Treasury Bill Index tracks the performance of U.S. dollar denominated U.s. Treasury bills, which represent obligations of the U.S. Government having a maturity of one year or less, and is intended as an approximate measure of the rate of
BofAML Bull & Bear indicator at 7.1, but cash did not fall sharply enough to trigger 8.0 "sell" signal. As a reminder, the FMS Cash Rule works as follows: when average cash balance rises above 4.5% a contrarian buy signal is generated for equities. When the cash balance falls below 3.5% a contrarian sell signal is generated.
BofAML Bull & Bear indicator surges to 7.9, highest since last sell signal >8 triggered Mar'13; BofAML Bull & Bear indicator has given 11 sell signals since 2002; hit ratio = 11/11; average equity peak-to-trough drop following 3 months = 12% (backtested, Table 1); note the last Bull & Bear indicator flashed was a buy signal of 0 on Feb 11th 2016 Death to the bull market real soon, suggested one investment bank's quasi doomsday clock. Bank of America's bull and bear indicator, a proprietary measure of market sentiment, is flashing its One is the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which they said should pass 1,400 to signal that tech isn't in a bear market. Despite the rising prices, the BofAML team also reported that equity funds have recorded outflows in eight of the last nine weeks. Last week equity outflows reached $4.8 billion.
Synchrony +1.0% after BofAML turns bull. Synchrony +1.0% after BofAML turns bull Vanguard Total Bond Market II Index Fund Investor Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility Get today's latest stock market news including sector performance, market movers, economic data, commodity prices and market commentary from Merrill Edge. Stock screener for investors and traders, financial visualizations. Covered Calls Naked Puts Bull Call Spreads Bear Call Spreads Bear Put Spreads Bull Put Spreads Short Strangle Long Strangle Short Straddle Long Straddle. Optionable Stocks. Upcoming Earnings Stocks by Sector. Futures. Market Pulse. Bank of America has a running tally of 19 "signposts" that signal when the bear market is upon us, and nearly three-quarters of the signals have been triggered. Two more went off during the month of October, with the Volatility Index (VIX) climbing over 20 and the number of Americans that expect stocks to go up also crossing a threshold. Giving the second tier index a boost was news that US-based Echostar had taken a stake in rival Inmarsat. wonders BofA Merrill Lynch? The BofAML 'Bull & Bear indicator' is at 2.9, moving